Wednesday, June 7, 2023

Massive sails power ships like never before

courtesy of OceanBird
 
From Wired by Jacopo Prisco

Global trade relies on ships powered by dirty fuel.
To meet climate deadlines, some are proposing a return to wind power.



The Oceanbird Wing 560 isn’t a wing, but it isn’t a sail either.
When it’s first assembled a few months from now in a shipyard just north of Malmö, Sweden, it’ll be 40 meters high with a 560-square-meter surface and will weigh around 200 metric tons.
Its creators call it a wingsail, and they think it’s the future of sea travel.

“It’s more like an airplane wing that you put on top of a ship rather than a normal sail, that’s why we call it a wingsail,” says Niclas Dhal, managing director of Oceanbird.

The wingsail consists of two parts: a rigid main core and a flap that draws air onto the core in a system inspired by high-performance racing yachts, which can travel faster than the speed of the wind.
The core is made of steel, surrounded by glass fiber and recycled PET, and the whole thing can contract to less than half of its total length and tilt down to lie flat over the deck.
This summer, its prototype will be tested on land, and next year it will be fitted to a 14-year-old cargo ship, the car carrier Wallenius Tirranna.


You can think of the Oceanbird wing sail like a vertical airplane wing, with influences from traditional sailing. In this animation, we show how Oceanbird use aerodynamics to move a vessel forward and how the wing interacts with the wind.
 
Making the sail work on a vessel that’s already in service is critical for a company that wants to help decarbonize the shipping industry, which is responsible for just under 3 percent of global greenhouse gas emissions.
Building more fuel-efficient ships is the long-term mission, Dhal says, “but if you really want to change the world, you need to address all the existing vessels.”

Oceanbird started in 2010 as a zero-emissions research project at Wallenius Marine, a large Swedish shipbuilder.
It is now a separate commercial entity, designing and producing wingsails.


A vessel retrofitted with an Oceanbird wingsail.
Courtesy of Oceanbird


Retrofitting an existing vessel with a single wingsail can reduce fuel consumption by around 10 percent, Oceanbird says, but a ship entirely designed around these sails is far more efficient.
The first one—the Orcelle Wind, a car carrier with space for 7,000 vehicles and a length of over 200 meters—won’t sail before 2026, but it will cut emissions by at least 60 percent over an equivalent vessel without a sail.
The technology can achieve even more—up to 90 percent—if compromises are made in terms of routing and cruise speed, resulting in a longer travel time.

International shipping carries around 90 percent of the world’s trade goods.
Its emissions are only going to rise as trade increases.
But most large ships still rely on diesel engines, meaning that more trade translates to greater emissions.

In 2018, the International Maritime Organization adopted a target to reduce total greenhouse emissions 50 percent by 2050 compared to 2008 levels.
“That’s of course not enough by any measure to meet the temperature targets that are in the Paris Agreement,” says Christiaan De Beukelaer, a lecturer in Culture & Climate at the University of Melbourne and author of Trade Winds, a book about the shipping industry’s climate impact.

The target is up for revision in July: “Unless something very unexpected happens, I would assume that the level of ambition will increase quite drastically and the target will become zero emissions by 2050,” De Beukelaer adds.
“We’re currently burning 300 million tonnes of fossil fuels in the shipping industry every single year, and that will double or triple by 2050.”

Lower-emission fuels, such as methanol or ammonia, are available, but it’s unlikely that their production can be scaled up quickly enough to meet the global demand, which means fuel consumption must be reduced, De Beukelaer says.
Wind, which has powered shipping for thousands of years, can help: “The physics of sailing are age-old and haven’t changed, but the way in which we’re able to do it has come a very long way because we’ve been able to draw lessons from all kinds of technological advancements that have happened over the past 150 years.”

Among them is AI modeling that optimizes routing based on weather data, offsetting the wind’s unpredictability: “But a lot of the major trade routes that we use around the world still align quite well with the trade winds of yesteryear,” De Beukelaer says.
“The major trading connections and ports have been set up when we only used sails.
That’s where big cities and powerful economies developed.
So to a great extent those connections are still well served by winds.”


Courtesy of Oceanbird

There are limitations, such as choke points like the Suez and Panama canals: “Neither of them allows vessels to operate under sail.
The Panama Canal also has a bridge over it, with a height limitation of around 50 meters,” De Beukelaer says.
And of course, not all ships adapt well to sails.
Container ships, for example, have little space on deck to mount them, in contrast to car carriers or bulk carriers, which tuck away their load in the cargo hold—leaving plenty of available surface—and don’t require cranes for unloading.

According to the IMO, there are seven categories of wind propulsion technologies, which can apply to virtually every type of ship.
While Oceanbird uses hard sails, there are also soft sails, resembling those most associated with classic sailboats, but with more advanced materials.

For large ships, rotor sails (also called Flettner rotors, after their inventor) will be a popular option.
These are composite cylinders that rotate up to 300 times per second, generating thrust due to a pressure differential.
The similar looking suction wings or turbosails, developed by explorer Jacques Cousteau in the 1980s, do not rotate, relying instead on internal fans that create a suction effect.
There are also giant kites, usually deployed about 200 meters above the ship, and wind turbines, not too different from those used to generate electricity but mounted on deck with the option of providing power or thrust.
Finally there’s a hull form, in which the entire ship is essentially designed as a large sail to capture the wind.

About 25 large, wind-powered cargo ships are already operating worldwide, with most of these technologies represented: “The rotor sails have the most installations, one of the reasons being that they started to commercialize earlier than the other ones,” says Gavin Allwright, secretary general of the International Windship Association, a nonprofit organization founded in 2014 that promotes wind propulsion in commercial shipping.
“Back then, the whole policy framework of shipping revolved around fossil fuels.
To get wind accepted and included into that is an ongoing challenge, but we’re increasingly seeing that happen: By the end of this year, we should have 48, possibly 49 wind-powered vessels, bringing us up to possibly 3.5 million deadweight tonnes of shipping.”

That’s a minuscule percentage of the world’s global capacity of 2.2 billion deadweight metric tons, as wind technology is still expensive in this nascent phase.
“We’re still in pretty early days, but for every doubling of installations, we see a 10 percent reduction in costs,” says Allwright.
“However, 2023 will likely get more like a 20 or 25 percent [savings], because those early reductions in costs are the easy, low-hanging fruit.”

Among other factors that could accelerate uptake, Allwright says, are streamlining the certification process for new wind-powered ships, as well possibly higher costs of fuel, which could be impacted by new carbon taxes like the one the European Union has agreed to introduce in 2024.
Another key enabler would be the acceptance of slower shipping times.
According to IMO estimates, simply adding wind propulsion to a single ship could lower emissions by more than 22 percent.
However, extending trip duration by a fifth increases that to nearly 50 percent, and extending it by a half reduces emissions by 67 percent.
A study by the University of Manchester similarly shows that cuts in emissions jump from 10 percent to 44 percent on a ship with rotor sails when speed is reduced and a flexible arrival time is allowed.

“The current operating model of a lot of shipping industries is that you hurry up, you get to port as quickly as possible, but then you have to wait for a slot to offload.
And then, often, the cargo you’ve offloaded is left to wait before it’s picked up,” De Beukelaer says.
“But in recent years there’s been a real interest in the so-called virtual arrival, where ports and shipping companies collaborate by aligning their slots in docks so the port can, for example, ask a ship to arrive later if there’s a backlog, which also means they’ll save fuel.
Is there a possibility to make shipping times slightly longer? It might just require us to rethink the current ‘just in time’ logistics model and force us to accept a slightly more dynamic one, which could be tricky.”

According to Allwright, the time might be right for that kind of shift: “The boardroom of shipping has gone through quite a transformation over the last few years.
They get the climate issue, they get the problem of pollution and the need for change.”

“But they also have to give value to their shareholders, and one of the big things with wind is that it’s a free energy source,” he adds.
“It’s a propulsion system that will actually pay for itself, and it’s the only one out there that’s credible.”
 
Links :

Tuesday, June 6, 2023

Spoofed AIS signals form symbol of Russian invasion

 Courtesy Geollect

From Maritime Executive

Geospatial intelligence firm Geollect has identified a spoofed AIS pattern tracing out the "Z" symbol of the Russian invasion of Ukraine at a position off the coast of Crimea.
It is the latest in a long string of spoofing incidents in the region, and the pattern has long been attributed to Russian government actors.

Remote GPS spoofing can trick a GPS receiving unit into calculating a false location.
Among other applications, this form of signal interference can be used to defeat the GPS guidance systems of certain U.S.- and NATO-made drones and precision weapons.
Russia is reportedly proficient in this form of electronic warfare.

There is a long history of GPS spoofing near Russian and Russian-occupied areas of the Black Sea coastline, and it periodically affects shipping.
Since a ship's AIS transponder broadcasts the location it receives from the ship's GPS unit, a broad-scale GPS spoofing attack will displace the "location" that the ship broadcasts via AIS, producing results that can sometimes appear bizarre.
In 2017, more than 20 ships reported that their GPS positions had been erroneously relocated 25 nm inland to the airport in Novorossiysk.
Others at anchor appeared "clustered" in areas where there were no radar returns for ships.

Over the course of 2017-19, non-profit analytics group C4ADS catalogued about 10,000 similar incidents affecting 1,300 vessels, most in or around areas of Russian influence.
The report also drew a correlation between the movements of Russian President Vladimir Putin and the mass spoofing events, noted contributor and cybersecurity expert Dana Goward.

In June and July 2021, three NATO warships - the Royal Navy's USS Defender, the U.S.
Navy's USS Ross and a Royal Dutch Navy vessel - all had their locations spoofed to positions off Russian-occupied Crimea.
The reason and culprit remain unknown.

This month, a large number of merchant ships along the southern coast of Ukraine had their AIS locations remotely spoofed to the coastal waters of Russian-occupied Crimea.
However, instead of a random pattern or a cluster, the AIS positions form a clear "Z" shape, the de facto symbol of support for the Russian invasion.
This AIS spoofing pattern was almost certainly created by transmitting false AIS signals, mimicking the ships' actual AIS transmissions with corrupted duplicates, according to Geollect.

"It is highly likely that this is a deliberate information operation by a pro-Russian actor (possibly Russian military psychological operations) ahead of an anticipated Ukrainian counteroffensive and/or in celebration of Russia's proclaimed victory over Bakhmut," assessed Geollect.

The pattern began to show up on AIS on the 14th, and strengthened from May 19-21.
Putin declared victory over Ukrainian forces in Bakhmut on May 22.
In a clear sign of spoofing, merchant vessel "speeds" between these erroneous AIS positions were as high as 100 knots, Geollect reported.
 
 
Links :

Monday, June 5, 2023

Climate change: Norwegian seafloor holds clue to Antarctic melting

Image source, David Vaughan
There are lessons for Antarctica half a world away, on the floor of the Norwegian Sea

From BBC by Jonathan Amos

Antarctica's melting ice sheet could retreat much faster than previously thought, new research suggests.

The evidence comes from markings on the seafloor off Norway that record the pull-back of a melting European ice sheet thousands of years ago.

Today, the fastest withdrawing glaciers in Antarctica are seen to retreat by up to 30m a day.

But if they sped up, the extra melt water would have big implications for sea-level rises around the globe.

Ice losses from Antarctica caused by climate change have already pushed up the surface of the world's oceans by nearly 1cm since the 1990s.

The researchers found that with the Norwegian sheet, the maximum retreat was more than 600m a day.

"This is something we could see if we continue with the upper estimates for temperature rise," explained Dr Christine Batchelor from Newcastle University, UK.
"Although, worryingly, when we did the equations to think about what would be needed to instigate such retreat in Antarctica, we actually found there are places where you could get similar pulses of withdrawal even under the basal melt rates we know are happening at the moment," she told BBC News.



Dr Batchelor and colleagues report their research in this week's edition of the journal Nature.

The team has been looking at a great swathe of seafloor off the central Norwegian coast.
Twenty thousand years ago, this area was witness to a massive Northern European ice sheet in the process of withdrawal and break-up.

The sheet's past existence is written into more than 7,600 parallel, ladder-like ridges that have been sculpted in the seafloor's muddy sediments.
These corrugations are less than 2.5m high and are spaced between about 25m and 300m apart.
The scientists interpret the ridges to be features that are generated at an ice grounding zone.

This is the zone where glacier ice flowing off the land into the ocean becomes buoyant and starts to float.
The corrugations are created as the ice at this location repeatedly pats the sediments as the daily tides rise and fall.

For the pattern to have been produced and preserved, the ice must have been in retreat (advancing ice would destroy the ridges); and the tidal "clock" therefore gives a rate for this reversal.

 
Image source, COPERNICUS data/ESA
Satellites can map the retreat of Antarctic glaciers but their record is short - just 40 years or so


The team's results show the former European ice sheet underwent pulses of rapid retreat at speeds of 55m to 610m per day.

Importantly, the fastest rates were observed in places where the seafloor was relatively flat.
These are locations where the ice above would tend to be more uniform in thickness and where less melting is required to make the ice float to aid its retreat.

Similar corrugations have been detected on the seafloor around Antarcticabut the examples are quite limited in extent.
The Norwegian study area is vastly greater and so gives a much clearer impression of how quickly ice can go backwards in a warming climate.

Today, scientists use satellites to monitor the grounding zones of Antarctica's ocean-terminating glaciers.
The spacecraft can trace where the ice is being lifted and lowered on the tides.




The fastest retreat has been observed at Pope Glacier in the west of the continent, where an average rate of 33m a day was measured over a period of 3.5 months in 2017.

But Pope is not one of Antarctica's mightier glaciers. Scientists are more interested in behemoths such as Thwaites.
This body of ice is the size of Britain and could raise global sea levels by half a metre, were it all to melt.

"Four kilometres inland of the current grounding line at Thwaites, there is a conduit-like channel where the seabed is flat. It is the perfect setting for this process of buoyancy-driven retreat," said co-author Dr Frazer Christie of the Scott Polar Research Institute (SPRI), Cambridge University, UK.
"We're talking about a small area compared with Thwaites' entire drainage basin, but even a short-lived, very rapid retreat will have implications for the future dynamics of the glacier."

Drs Batchelor and Christie say their team's observations will fine-tune the computer models that try to forecast Antarctica's destiny in an ever-warming world.
At the moment, these models are missing important details of ice behaviour.
"But this is why we look into the geological past to tell us what's possible. Yes, we have satellites, but their records are very short - only 40 years or so," commented co-author Prof Julian Dowdeswell, also from SPRI.

"Importantly, the geological record is something that has actually happened. It's an 'observation' in the real world, not just in the computer model world," he told BBC News.
 
Links :

Sunday, June 4, 2023

Deepest part of the oceans

Measuring the Greatest Ocean Depth
The Challenger Deep in the Mariana Trench is the deepest known point in Earth's oceans. In 2010 the United States Center for Coastal & Ocean Mapping measured the depth of the Challenger Deep at 10,994 meters (36,070 feet) below sea level with an estimated vertical accuracy of ± 40 meters.
If Mount Everest, the highest mountain on Earth, were placed at this location it would be covered by over one mile of water.
The first depth measurements in the Mariana Trench were made by the British survey ship HMS Challenger, which was used by the Royal Navy in 1875 to conduct research in the trench.
The greatest depth that they recorded at that time was 8,184 meters (26,850 feet).
In 1951, another Royal Navy vessel, also named the "HMS Challenger," returned to the area for additional measurements.
They discovered an even deeper location with a depth of 10,900 meters (35,760 feet) determined by echo sounding.
The Challenger Deep was named after the Royal Navy vessel that made these measurements.
In 2009, sonar mapping done by researchers aboard the RV Kilo Moana, operated by the University of Hawaii, determined the depth to be 10,971 meters (35,994 feet) with a potential error of ± 22 meters.
The most recent measurement, done in 2010, is the 10,994 meter ( ± 40 meter accuracy) depth reported at the top of this article, measured by the United States Center for Coastal & Ocean Mapping.

Saturday, June 3, 2023

Visualizing the human impact on the ocean economy

From VisualCapitalist by Iman Gosh   

When you think of economic output, it’s likely the ocean isn’t the first entity that comes to mind.
But from facilitating international trade to regulating the climate, the “blue economy” contributes significant value in both tangible and intangible ways.

The sustainable use of the ocean and its resources for economic development and livelihoods have such far-reaching effects, that its protection is a significant goal of the United Nations, as well as for many other countries and organizations throughout the world.

However, these vital ocean assets are in danger of sinking quickly.
We look at the total value of assets that come from our ocean, and how various human activities are affecting these resources.
 
Global Ocean Asset Value

Economic value from all the oceans is measured both by their direct output, as well as any indirect impacts they produce.

According to the World Wildlife Fund, these combined assets are valued at over $24 trillion.
Here’s how they break down:
  • Direct Output: Marine fisheries, coral reefs, seagrass, and mangroves
    • Total value: $6.9T
    • Examples of direct output: Fishing, agriculture
  • Trade and Transport: Shipping lanes
    • Total value: $5.2T
  • Adjacent Assets: Productive coastline, carbon absorption
    • Total value: $7.8T, and $4.3T respectively
    • Examples of services enabled: Tourism, education/conservation (such as jobs created)
In fact, the annual gross marine product of the oceans is comparable to the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of countries, coming in at $2.5 trillion per year—making it the world’s eighth largest economy in country terms.

Unfortunately, experts warn that various human activities are endangering these ocean assets and their reliant ecosystems.
 
The Cumulative Human Impact on Oceans

An 11-year long scientific study tracked the global effect of multiple human activities across diverse marine environments.
The researchers identified four main categories of stressors between 2003-2013.
  • Climate change: Sea surface temperature, ocean acidification, and sea level rise
  • Ocean: Shipping
  • Land-based: Nutrient pollution, organic chemical pollution, direct human pollution, light pollution
  • Fishing: Commercial and artisanal fishing, including trawling methods
Across the board, climate stressors were the most dominant drivers of change in a majority of marine environments.
Similarly, pollution levels have also increased for many ecosystems.

Plastic pollution is especially damaging, as it continues to grow at u
nprecedented rates, with a significant amount ending up in the oceans.
The World Economic Forum estimates that by 2050, there could be more plastic in the ocean than fish by weight.

Among the various marine environments, coral reefs, seagrasses, and mangroves proved to be most at-risk, experiencing the fastest increase in cumulative human impact.
However, these are also the same ecosystems that we rely on for their direct economic output.

Overall, climate-induced declines in ocean health could cost the global economy $428 billion annually by 2050.
 
The Ocean Economy is in Hot Water

It can be difficult to truly understand the scale at which we rely on the ocean for climate regulation.
The ocean is a major “carbon sink”, absorbing nearly 30% of the carbon emitted by human activity.
But acidity levels and rising sea surface temperatures are changing its chemistry, and reducing its ability to dissolve CO₂.

According to the UN, ocean acidification has grown by 26% since pre-industrial times.
At our current rates, it could rise to 100-150% by the end of the century.
Overfishing is another urgent threat that shows no signs of slowing down, with sustainable fish stocks declining from 90% to 66.9% in just over 40 years.

To try and counteract these issues, this year’s virtual World Oceans Day is focused on “Innovation for a Sustainable Oceans” to discuss various solutions, including how the private sector can work with communities to maintain the blue economy.
In addition, there’s a petition in place to urge world leaders to help protect 30% of the natural world by 2030.

Will our human activities continue to stress the ocean economy, or will we be able to positively reverse these trends in the years to come?