Thursday, August 27, 2026

The ocean just broke a temperature record that may have stood for millennia

 
From WP by Ben Noll

Marine heat waves currently cover 42 percent of the planet’s oceans.

As a record-breaking El Niño builds in the Pacific and large swaths of the globe’s oceans are affected by marine heat waves, a significant record has fallen.

According to data from the Copernicus Climate Change Service, average global sea surface temperatures have reached a new high, rising to nearly 70 degrees Fahrenheit late last week — potentially for the first time in millennia.
 
This mark surpassed the previous record set in March 2024.

“August 21st likely marked the warmest Sea Surface Temperatures have been for the entire Holocene period, and possibly even as far back as the last Interglacial 125,000 years ago,” wrote University of Ottawa professor Ryan Katz-Rosene on X.
Sea surface temperatures from thousands of years ago are reconstructed using marine sediment cores, which contain tiny fossils whose chemistry reflects the temperature of the water in which they formed.

These records indicate that global sea surface temperatures are now higher than at any time in at least 12,000 years and are probably reaching levels experienced during the last interglacial period, around 123,000 to 128,000 years ago.
The unusual ocean warmth has fueled powerful storms in the Pacific, such as Hurricane Lala near Hawaii, helped create a reservoir of extra moisture that has contributed to recent rainfall extremes across the United States and boosted summer heat across Europe.
About 42 percent of the planet's oceans are currently covered by marine heat wave conditions. Marine heat waves are marked by unusual and persistent ocean warmth compared to average. 
(Ben Noll/The Washington Post; NOAA)

According to NOAA data, 42 percent of the planet’s oceans are currently experiencing marine heat waves.
In the Pacific Ocean alone, marine heat waves cover an area that’s equivalent to nine times the size of the contiguous United States — greatly contributing to the new global sea surface temperature record. 
 
Links :

Wednesday, August 26, 2026

eNav in a nutshell: paper charts versus electronic charts

Running aground is a risk if relying on digital chart data that isn’t accurate. 
Credit: SNSM/Alamy
 
From Practical Boat Owner by Craig Burton

There’s an accelerating shift away from paper charts, but how best to use predicted data from digital aids in real-world situations?
Craig Burton, head of training operations at the Royal Yachting Association (RYA) shares his advice.

Globally, digital navigation is the primary means of navigation for skippers and navigators.

This shift from paper charts has exposed limitations in official electronic navigation charts (ENCs) for leisure use because, while private providers have helped fill gaps, key issues remain around display systems, backup arrangements, training, and cost.

Paper charts remain the only viable official source of chart data, as there is not yet an approved electronic system suitable for most leisure craft.

Yet, in two recent RYA surveys, the vast majority of 4,000 respondents per survey stated that they used digital navigational equipment as their primary passage-making navigational tools.

Digital aids can take the hard work out of passage planning and monitoring, and enhance accuracy but it’s important to be confident that the primary sources of raw data is accurate.

Where in the world?



The green area on the electronic chart (left) matches the section labelled ‘j’ in the boxed area on the paper chart (above). 
Credit: RYA

This is equally true of our horizontal position.

Now we can accurately plot our position using satellites, the reliability of the electronic charts we are using becomes crucial.

We need to know how accurately placed a rock might be if we are navigating to a tolerance of metres rather that hundreds of yards.

In the paper-plotting world, we used pilotage at close quarters, in which case our position, relative to fixed objects and charted navigation marks, could be transferred to the chart with an accuracy that had more to do with the competence of the navigator than the skill of the hydrographer and his surveys.

When far offshore, dead reckoning (DR), astro and estimated positions (EPs) are used when considerable margins for error had to be factored in and the accuracy of charts was not generally an issue.

The arrival of global navigation satellite system (GNSS) receivers suddenly threw the accuracy of charts, and the information they were based on, into sharp focus.

Augmented GNSS can now give positions accurate to less than 1m.
But what happens when you transfer that position onto a chart?

The first problem was that paper charts from different countries and hydrographic offices used slightly different models for the shape of the earth – horizontal datums.

The UK Hydrographic Office (UKHO) used its own datum, OSGB1936.

Internationally, one of the most popular was WGS84 and this was adopted as the standard for GPS navigation.
Positions arrived at by the two different systems could be different to a significant degree.

In the early days of GPS, corrections had to be applied to WGS84-derived positions to be able to plot them on OSGB36-based UKHO charts.

The difference was enough to worry conscientious navigators.

Today charts are published using a horizontal datum compatible with WGS84 positions.



Diagram showing the effect of onshore and offshore winds on sea level. Credit: RYA

Reliability of electronic charts

But what if the survey on which the paper chart, and the electronic chart derived from it, is inaccurate?

In the traditional world of pilotage this doesn’t generally matter.

In the digital world it really does, because you may know exactly where you are in the world but the cartographer may not have exactly identified where the land is.

In most well-travelled parts of the ocean, a combination of modern hydrographic and satellite surveys has developed charts accurate enough for all practical purposes, but it’s still good to know just how accurate the information is.

Data comparison

On a paper chart this information will be printed in a source data table like that in the illustration (opposite).

It indicates that part of the chart was drawn from a government survey dating from 1945 (marked ‘j’, in the red boxed area) which might be considered unreliable by modern standards.

The digital vector chart next to it has a note giving a zone of confidence of Grade C, meaning positional accuracy is within +/- 500m and depths up to 10m may be incorrect to +/- 2.5m.
Definitely unreliable!

ZOC on a UKHO nautical raster chart in the GeoGarage platform

Unfortunately, most commercially available digital charts for the leisure industry do not give a ‘quality of data’ measure.
 
Credit: Clipper Round the World
 
Gosong Mampango (also known as Discovery East Bank, Discovery Oostbank or Gosong Discovery Timur), reef in the Java Sea where CV24 grounded
Visualization with the GeoGarage platform (NGA nautical raster chart) 
 
An example of the risks of relying on such data is the grounding and loss of the Cork Clipper (CV24) in the Java Sea due to the charted position of a reef being 0.9 miles out.

The most accurate chart surveys (graded as A1) have a positional accuracy of +/- 5m and depth accuracy of +/- 0.6m, for charted depths up to 10m.

The next grade down (A2) has positional accuracy of +/- 20m and charted depths of +/- 1.2m for depths up to 10m.

Pilotage basics
 

Don’t ignore information from real-world data when navigating by electronic charts.
Credit: geogphotos/Alamy

By the third grade (B) of six we find positional accuracy as +/- 50m. It’s estimated the average accuracy of chart data is +/- 60m.

In this digital world there is still a need to make use of all pilotage and planning techniques.

The only difference is that most sailors will be using these to check the digital information.

When entering a small harbour, you’d be foolish not to use the buoyage, transits or sector lights provided.

Then, even if the electronic chart survey is out by 500m, you’ll be safe if you stay in the channel.

At close quarters, it’s your position relative to dangers or safe areas that’s important, not an electronically derived lat/long position.
This is essentially what pilotage is all about.

‘Digital First’ navigation means using electronics for more efficient passage planning and execution, but we must remember that the human is always in charge.

If the electronics are not providing what you need, switch to plan ‘B’ – which, at the moment, is still paper charts.

Predicted vs real tidal data study

In the pre-digital age, there were trusted sources of printed tidal information.

There’s a greater choice now, however it is worth checking the reliability of the source of data on digital tidal prediction apps and websites to compare predicted heights and rates of flow with actual data.

The best source for predictions in the UK is the UKHO, which is the national entity chosen to provide this information for the safety of shipping.


 
We compared predicted height for Southampton Water at 14:30 on easytide.admiralty.co.uk (3.8m) with the actual tidal height gauge reading (4.0m).

Other sites showed 4.0m, 3.9m and 3.8m.

You may think the source matching the actual height is best but repeat this exercise on different occasions and other sources will prove more accurate.

No matter how clever a tidal height prediction is there can still be a variance of 20-30cm due to changes in air pressure alone.

Adding the effect of wind direction and strength can affect tidal height by up to 0.9m (storm surges).

A good navigator will build in a margin of safety.

Paper reprise
Links :

 

Tuesday, August 25, 2026

NorthStandard examines ECDIS safety settings in new briefing


Above image is used for illustration purposes only

From Safety4Sea

Since their introduction, Electronic Chart Display and Information Systems (ECDIS) and Electronic Navigational Charts (ENCs) have rapidly become the primary means of navigation aboard many vessels.
NorthStandard has issued a briefing examining the safety settings available to ENC users.

As explained in the “ECDIS – Safety Settings,” briefing, ECDIS offers several advantages over traditional paper charts, one of the most important being its ability to alert navigators when a vessel may be approaching dangerous waters.
By using safety settings tailored to the vessel’s condition, ECDIS can provide valuable warnings and support safer navigation.

However, these settings must be properly understood, configured and used to ensure they deliver their full benefit.

Safety contour

This is the primary safety feature on the ECDIS.
It is set by the user and marks the boundary between safe water and shallow water.

How does it do this?

Before departing port, the ECDIS user must set a value for the safety contour.
This should take into account the vessel’s draught and required under-keel clearance.
The quality of the ENC data available must also be considered.
The safety contour shows on the ENC as an extra wide isoline.

Users should check their SMS for the procedure on setting the safety contour.
If it is not set, the ECDIS default value for the safety contour is 30m.

What happens when you get near a safety contour?

When the ECDIS is in monitoring mode (in use on passage), if the vessel’s watch / lookahead vector crosses a set safety contour the user will receive an audible alarm.

The safety contour is the only automatic audible alarm on ECDIS.
If the user wishes to have other features – such as wrecks or underwater obstructions – raise an audible alarm, then they must set this themselves when planning the passage as the normal ECDIS default for such objects is only to visually highlight these.
 
Availability of depth contours

The use of the safety contour can only be accurate if the ENC data within the ECDIS contains enough depth contours.
When ENCs were first introduced, most makers used their paper chart series as the source for their data.
Unfortunately, this led to some issues, and today many ENCs only contain the standard series of contour lines taken from the old paper chart.

As such, when building the chart display and a contour line is not available, the ECDIS software will draw the next available deeper depth contour in the ENC with a thick bold contour line and shade all areas of the chart between this depth and the zero-metre drying line in a dark blue shallow water colour.
 
Confidence in the data

When setting a value for the safety contour, not only should the user consider draught and the under-keel clearance requirements but also the accuracy of the ENC hydrographic data.
If the ENC in use for a certain leg of the passage shows a low ‘Category Zones of Confidence’ (CATZOC), then this should be accounted for when setting the safety contour.


Sometimes, due to the limited availability of contours in ENC data when navigating near the coast, the vessel will need to navigate inside the safety contour.
To improve situational awareness for the user, the latest S-52 standards gives the user the flexibility to turn on the isolated danger symbols to display behind the safety contour in potentially dangerous areas
 
Safety depth

As described earlier, because of the limited availability of contour lines (commonly to 2m, 5m, 10m, 20m 30m and 50m) this limits the effectiveness of the safety contour, the ECDIS user can set up safety depths independently of the safety contour.

The ECDIS will then display any sounding with a value equal to, or less than, the safety depth value in bold to make them more prominent.
Shallow and deep contours

Before discussing shallow and deep contours, the user must understand depth shades of an ECDIS:

Depth Shades

The user has the option of selecting a simple two-colour shading, or a more in-depth four-colour shading.
To enable the use of the four-colour option, the user can set what are called ‘shallow’ and ‘deep-water’ contours in addition to their set safety contour.

Two depth shades

This is the default setting and will only show two depth shades in addition to the inter-tidal area which is exposed at low water:

• Shallow / unsafe waters – Between 0 metres and the safety contour
• Deep / safer waters – Deeper than the safety contour 
Credit: NorthStandard

Four depth shades

If the two depth shades option is turned off, the system will switch to displaying four depth shades option using values that are set for the shallow and deep contour:

• User defined shallow contour
• User defined deep contour
 
Credit: NorthStandard

The use of four depth shades reduces the contrast difference between adjacent depth areas.
This may make it more difficult to distinguish between safe and unsafe waters under certain lighting conditions, particularly at night where its use is not recommended.
 
Shallow contour

The shallow contour value is set by the user and is used to determine all areas shallower than this value.
The below first image shows an ECDIS with the shallow contour switched off, and the second with the shallow contour on, illustrating the difference in colours:
 
Deep contour

This indicates the limit of the sea area where ‘shallow water effects’ can affect the vessel.
It shows the user what the passage plan thinks is deep water.
This could be, for example, twice the deepest draft, or 100m in open sea passages.
You should consult your SMS for details.

When ‘four shades’ mode is activated, the display will show shallow and deep contour as two additional blue-coloured patterns on the chart panel.
While activating the shallow pattern will cross out non-navigable, unsafe water, this can lead to a cluttered screen.
 
Route check function

When the user has completed planning the intended passage, it is possible to check that the route is safe by using the ECDIS route check function.
This checks that the planned route is safe, based on the vessel’s characteristics, and importantly it is free from any charted dangers based on the entered safety settings.

Therefore, the user must ensure that the appropriate safety contour and depth settings are entered before starting this check.
 
Lookahead function

The ‘lookahead’ or ‘watch’ vector is selected by the user and is expressed either as a distance or a time.
Remember that if the watch vector crosses the safety contour it will raise an audible alarm, so it is very important that the user has an appropriate watch vector set at all times.

The setting of the watch vector may need to change throughout the passage.
For example, if the vessel is in open water, then a longer / larger watch vector may be more appropriate.
However, in confined waters this could mean frequent needless alarms, therefore you may wish to set a shorter / smaller watch vector.
 
Links :

Monday, August 24, 2026

What is el Niño, and what does it mean for weather, water, and the global economy?

The last three months of sea surface temperature anomaly in the eastern pacific.
It's like watching Godzilla rising from the depths.
We crossed the threshold this year.
The blue is cold, black neutral, red warm, yellow hot. 
 
From Wired by Ritsuko Kawai 

This year’s El Niño is shaping up to be the strongest on record.
Here’s what to expect.

EL NIÑO LOOKS to reach an intensity unprecedented in recorded history.

Characterized by warmer-than-normal sea surface temperatures in the equatorial Pacific, El Niño occurs every few years.
Meteorological agencies and researchers around the world are on high alert because when the heat stored in the ocean is released into the atmosphere, it triggers a chain reaction that affects rainfall, temperatures, and even hurricane activity around the world.

This year’s El Niño has gained strength at an exceptional speed, and it will wreak havoc on everything from fisheries to ski seasons.
Not all impacts are bad—the parched Southwest, for example, is likely to see more winter precipitation—but anticipating them is the key to being prepared.

What exactly is happening now, and what might happen in the coming months? Read on to understand what El Niño is, why this one might be a super El Niño, and where its impacts will be most acutely felt.

What Is El Niño?

Declaring an El Niño requires meeting a certain threshold of oceanic heat in the Pacific—specifically, a region known as Niño 3.4.
It’s an area that sits between Niño 3 and Niño 4 if you want to geek out even more.
In plain language, it’s a region in the eastern-central tropical Pacific.

The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration uses the three-month average sea surface temperature of the region to determine if an El Niño is in effect.
If the ocean is 0.5 degrees Celsius (0.9 degrees Fahrenheit) above normal for three overlapping three-month periods, it’s officially an El Niño.

Other weather agencies do things a little differently.
Japan’s Meteorological Agency monitors a slightly different region using its own criteria, while the Australian Bureau of Meteorology’s threshold has an atmospheric component as well.

In addition to warmer oceans, the trade winds that blow from east to west also weaken.
That allows seawater to pile up on the eastern side of the Pacific.
In 1997 and 2015—when El Niño events were among the strongest on record—sea levels rose more than 18 centimeters (7 inches) above average.

All this increases the odds of shifts in weather around the world.
There’s the aforementioned increase in rainfall in the Southwest as well as a corresponding decrease in Pacific Northwest precipitation.
Atlantic hurricane season tends to be milder as well, with fewer storms.

Indonesia sees an increased risk of drought, as do parts of southern Africa.
El Niño also tends to raise the odds of winter warmth in Japan and parts of Australia and Brazil.
(We can only speak of probabilities, because El Niño is not the only phenomenon affecting the weather on a given day or in a given season, but the phenomenon tilts the odds.

What Is a Super El Niño?

“Super El Niño” isn’t an official term any meteorological agency uses, but scientists generally use it to define any event where temperatures rise by at least 2 degrees Celsius above average.
While there’s no standardized definition, four particular El Niños are ones that check the super box: 1982–83, 1997–98, 2015–16, and 2023–24.

When the Super El Niño occurred in 1982–83, the Colorado River Basin in the US was hit by record-breaking heavy snowfall.
Combined with high spring temperatures and rainfall, the river’s flow exceeded 1.5 times the average.
Reservoirs upstream filled to capacity one after another, forcing emergency releases, and Lake Mead also reached near-capacity, causing water to overflow from the Hoover Dam spillway for the first time in about 40 years.
As a result, the basin suffered significant flood damage.
In other words, the impacts of El Niño that may be “good” can still lead to bad outcomes.

In 1997–98, Indonesia was hit by the worst drought in the past half-century, while the 2023-24 super El Niño contributed to the worst drought in over 100 years for southern Africa.
Conditions were so extreme that approximately 61 million people needed humanitarian aid.

How Is This El Niño Shaping Up?

There is a greater than 90 percent probability of this El Niño becoming “very strong” this fall and winter, according to NOAA.

Modeling by Berkeley Earth shows that median temperatures for the Niño 3.4 region could reach 3.6 degrees Celsius above normal—even after accounting for the effects of long-term global warming.
This would exceed the all-time high recorded during the 2015–16 El Niño by approximately 0.8 degrees Celsius.
Given that the difference between the strongest and fifth-strongest El Niño events over the past 150 years was only about 0.5 degrees Celsius, this represents an exceptional level of warming.

This El Niño event is also developing at a faster pace than usual.
While the 2015 El Niño developed from a situation where sea surface temperatures were already rising, this year’s began in a state closer to a La Niña (more on that later), with below-average sea surface temperatures.
Nevertheless, it is said to be developing even more rapidly than the 1997–98 super El Niño.

The economic impact of El Niño cannot be overlooked either.
An analysis found that the 1997–98 El Niño resulted in a cumulative loss of approximately $5.7 trillion over the following five years.

What About La Niña?

The counterpart to El Niño is La Niña, which is characterized by cooler-than-normal ocean temperatures in the Pacific.
It also occurs every few years, and the effects are generally opposite to those of El Niño.
That includes higher odds of more rain in Indonesia, a more active Atlantic hurricane season, and drier conditions in the Southwest, among others.
But with El Niño likely in the driver’s seat until at least spring, those impacts aren’t the ones to watch out for.
 
Links :

Sunday, August 23, 2026

World ocean floor

 
 Inspired by the  classic 1977 map by Heezen, Tharp, and Berann, the new seafloor map incorporates the latest bathymetric data, depicting topographic features with plan oblique relief and even cast shadows
 
 Blue Earth Bathymetry 1.0
 
 
Blue Earth Bathymetry 2.0, terrain data for making attractive maps of the ocean floor.
Developed with National Geographic Society funding.
Custom terrain data for making attractive small-scale maps of the world ocean floor. Created by merging the latest GEBCO and BathDNN25 data, Blue Earth Bathymetry 2.0 is more detailed and accurate than version 1.0. 
created by : Tom Patterson