Thursday, June 21, 2018

Aeolus: wind satellite weathers technical storm


ESA’s Earth Explorer Aeolus satellite will be launched later this year to measure the world’s winds from space.
The satellite carries one of the most sophisticated instruments ever to be put into orbit: Aladin, which includes two powerful lasers, a large telescope and very sensitive receivers.
The laser generates ultraviolet light that is beamed down into the atmosphere to profile the world’s winds – a completely new approach to measuring the wind from space.
These vertical slices through the atmosphere, along with information it gathers on aerosols and clouds, will improve our understanding of atmospheric dynamics and contribute to climate research.
As well as advancing science, Aeolus will play an important role in improving weather forecasts.
The mission will also complement information about the atmosphere being provided by the Copernicus Sentinel missions.

From BBC by Jonathan Amos


They say there is no gain without pain, but when the European Space Agency (Esa) set out in 2002 to develop its Aeolus satellite, no-one could have imagined the grief the project would bring.

Designed to make the most comprehensive maps of winds across the Earth, the mission missed deadline after deadline as engineers struggled to get its key technology - an ultraviolet laser system - working for long enough to make the venture worth flying.

But now, 16 years on, the Aeolus satellite is finished and ready to ship to the launch pad.
And far from being snuck out the back door at night in embarrassment at the huge delay, the spacecraft will be mated to its launch rocket with something of a fanfare.

Esa is taking pride in the fact that it overcame a major technical challenge.

"Many times I remember people saying, 'there's just no point in continuing because it is simply not possible to build a UV laser for space'. But this is the DNA of Esa - we do the difficult things and we don't give up," said the agency's Earth observation director, Dr Josef Aschbacher.

It helped of course that Aeolus promises data that many experts still believe will be transformative.
From its vantage point some 320km above the planet, the laser will track the movement of molecules and tiny particles to get a handle on the direction and speed of the wind.

Currently, we measure the dynamics of the atmosphere using an eclectic mix of tools - everything from whirling anemometers to other types of satellite that judge wind behaviour from the choppiness of seawater.
But these are all limited indications, telling us what is happening in particular places or at particular heights.

Aeolus, on the other hand, will attempt to build a truly global view of what the winds are doing on Earth, from the surface of the planet all the way up through the troposphere and into the stratosphere (from 0km to 30km).

How to measure the wind from space :
  • Aeolus will fire a laser through the atmosphere and measure the return signal
  • The light will scatter back off air molecules and particles moving in the wind
  • Meteorologists will adjust their numerical models to match this information
  • The biggest benefits should be in medium-range forecasts - a few days hence
  • Aeolus should pave the way for operational weather satellites with lasers

"The lack of wind profile observations is one of the most important gaps to fill in order to improve numerical weather prediction," Dr Florence Rabier, the DG at the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), told BBC News.
"The Aladin Doppler wind lidar instrument onboard Aeolus will be the first satellite instrument that provides wind profiles from space.
"We have very high expectations regarding the quality of the Aeolus wind profile data, and we are anticipating forecast quality to increase by 2-4% in the extra-tropics and up to 15% in the tropics. Aeolus is paving the way for significant improvements in weather forecasting".

There is an example that meteorologists quote from March 2014 - storminess that led to flooding in northern Europe.

When they did the post-event analysis to figure out why no-one had seen it coming, the conclusion was that inaccurate wind data six days previously had been used in the models.
Dr Alain Dabas from MeteoFrance explained: "The error was in the central Pacific at an altitude of about 11km. There was a mistake in the initial winds given to the models and that propagated to Europe.
"The question now is would Aeolus have solved this problem? Probably, yes."

It goes without saying that knowing what the wind is going to do reaches beyond just the nightly weather forecast on TV.
How it blows affects the distribution and transport of pollutants, and how quickly bad air in a hazy city, say, can be cleared away.

 The first Doppler Wind-Lidar in Space
Aeolus will measure global wind speeds in horizontal slices up to 30 km above the Earth’s surface and improve the performance of numerical weather forecasts.
Aeolus will bring improvement for climate research and modelling.
Aeolus will be the first satellite capable of observing wind activity in our atmosphere using laser technology to produce dynamic 3D maps.

Then there are the requirements of safety to consider - think sailors at sea, or construction on high-rise buildings. And don't forget the sectors whose whole reason to exist rests on the wind.

"For instance, the wind energy industry," said Dr Anne Grete Straume, Esa's Aeolus mission scientist.
"They're exploiting the winds and they need to know how much energy they can produce at any point in time. For that they need very accurate forecasts and we hope that our mission can help them with their management."

But all this depends on the UV laser doing its job.
The engineers are very confident now that it can.
They recently put the finished Aeolus satellite in a space chamber for six months to simulate the conditions of being in orbit.
The whole system passed with flying colours.

It is worth recalling some of the past frustrations.
The first problem was in finding diodes to generate laser light with a long enough lifetime.
When those were identified, the mission looked in great shape until engineers discovered their design wouldn't actually operate in a vacuum - a significant barrier for a space mission.

Tests revealed that in the absence of air, the laser was degrading its own optics; as the high-energy light hit the lenses and mirrors, it would blacken them.

Companies across Europe were pushed to develop new coatings for the various elements.
The key breakthrough, however, was to introduce a small amount of oxygen to the instrument to prevent surfaces carbonising.
It's a tiny puff of gas - 40 pascals' worth; the same pressure you might expect to develop from the presence of a photosynthesising plant.
But it is sufficient to oxidise contaminants and remove them.

"When we started, the only references we had were classified because these types of lasers are used to represent atomic bombs, and those technologies were totally locked out," said Anders Elfving, Esa's Aeolus project manager.
"The motivation for my team all these years was that there is no alternative, and of course the user community is still so enthusiastic for what we've built.
"We want to see what is invisible - to see the wind in clear skies. And I think active lidars like Aladin are the future - for much more accurate measurements of CO2 and other trace gases in the atmosphere."

The launch of Aeolus on a Vega rocket is currently set for 21 August.

Links :

Wednesday, June 20, 2018

Germany BSH layer update in the GeoGarage platform

86 nautical charts updated & 11 new charts added

Sailing the mysteries of old maps


From ERC

Dr Joaquim Alves Gaspar is a man of the sea.
After many years in the Portuguese Navy, he gave up plans to become an admiral in favour of pursuing a PhD in the History of Cartography.
This second career led him to receive an ERC Starting Grant, the first awarded in this budding discipline.
With his highly multidisciplinary team (he likes to say that, to work with him, one must be a mathematician fluent in Latin), and the experience obtained as a navigator and navigational instructor, Dr Gaspar hopes to understand how and when the first nautical charts were created.
The MEDEA-CHART team is the best place in Portugal, and probably in the world, to study the history of nautical cartography, hoping that this work will provide the domain with its rightful recognition within world history.

What is your research project about?

Our project is about the origin, the technical evolution and the use of nautical cartography in Europe.
This includes the medieval charts of the Mediterranean, what historians call portolan charts, and the early modern charts, first of the Atlantic and then of the whole world.
These charts, which preceded the Mercator projection (designed in 1569, and on which current navigation is based), didn't even consider the Earth as round!
In fact, although people of course knew about it, the constraints of navigational methods dictated that a flat-earth model be used until mid-18th century.
The MEDEA-CHART project is about studying these apparently naïve forms of cartographic representation, which were used for so much discovery and exploration.

What do you hope to achieve with your grant?

We hope to resolve some historiographical issues which have eluded scholars of cartography for a very long time.
For example, when and how were the first nautical charts constructed?
The earliest existent chart is the Carta Pisana (1275-1280).
But we suspect a long tradition before that, and we know nothing about its development.
Also, how were they updated with new geographical information?
These issues are particularly relevant for the medieval ones, but similar questions could be asked for the more recent, so-called, latitude charts of the Atlantic, which were developed by the Portuguese following the introduction of astronomical navigation.
This new model was based on the traditional charts of the Mediterranean but we don’t know exactly how it evolved from them.
These are two aspects we want to explore.
In addition, we'd like to understand how those charts were used to navigate.
We know almost nothing about that but we hope to by the end of this project.

We hope to resolve some historiographical issues which have eluded scholars of cartography for a very long time.
For example, when and how were the first nautical charts constructed?
How were they updated with new geographical information? (Carta Pisana – 1275-1280)

This research is quite unique, was the ERC support important for the discipline itself?

Absolutely, it was the very first ERC grant in the field of the History of Cartography.
My biggest wish is to include the History of Cartography, now a bit of a niche subject, into the History of Science.
I believe it belongs in this field because of its extraordinary relevance in the period of geographic discovery and maritime expansion.
Nautical charts weren't used only for navigation but also for the construction of the first coherent image of the whole world.
They were the most important source of geographical information during a period when the world was being discovered, explored and mapped by Europeans.
When we see those lavish atlases and maps of the world of the 16th and 17th century, we don’t realise that most of that information came from nautical charts, which were instruments for navigation not intended to depict the world.
Even more surprisingly, nautical charts were constructed not by scholars, but by artisans.
They were scientific tools made and used by illiterate workers, and this is in itself quite notable for the History of Science.
Finally, for the first time, we are using a multidisciplinary approach to study these maps, an approach which is extremely powerful and has already proven its potential.

Tell us more about this multidisciplinarity.

Essentially, not only do we study the sources using the traditional methods of historical research, but we also use geometrical analysis, mathematical modelling, radiocarbon dating and multispectral imaging technology.
Seven people work with me in the team, only one is a traditional historian.
We have three physicists, a philosopher, a computer science engineer, a neuroscientist and a navy officer.
One of them ia an American senior investigator and the world expert of the Piri Reis map (a well-known Turkish portolan chart from the 16th century).
We look at the charts themselves, lots of them.
But then written sources explaining how those charts came to be don't exist, so we try to understand the creation process by examining the charts themselves physically and mathematically, as well as interpreting the few textual sources where they are mentioned.

My biggest wish is to include the History of Cartography, now a bit of a niche subject, into the History of Science.
I believe it belongs in this field because of its extraordinary relevance in the period of geographic discovery and maritime expansion.
Nautical charts weren't used only for navigation but also for the construction of the first coherent image of the whole world.
(Anonymous Atlantic Chart – 1560)

How did you develop this passion for cartography?

I have been connected to the sea since I was a child.
I was always fascinated by maps and charts.
Charts and maps were part of my professional life in the navy but this particular interest in the History of Cartography began when I was sent to the Portuguese Navy Academy to teach cartography and hydrographic surveying.
Then I published two books on theoretical modern cartography.
That, at the time, was my real interest.
When the time came to decide about my career in the navy, about 15 years ago, I could have become an admiral but I realised that I had a bigger ambition.
I decided to start a PhD instead for which my background in the navy was ideal.
I was an expert in navigation, in hydrographical surveying and also in mathematical cartography, which are very powerful tools to approach the study of old nautical charts.

 What 16th century Arabs thought Europe looked like on top of an actual map of Europe

How did your career in the navy develop?

My experience in the navy was very rich.
I spent several years at sea in different kinds of ships, as a desk officer when I was very young, as an operation officer, a navigator, and then as a commanding officer.
But I also had the opportunity to study a lot.
I have a Masters in Physical Oceanography which I obtained in the United States, I taught for many years in the Naval Academy and I served in the Hydrographic Institute as an oceanographer and an expert in navigation.
Most of what I know directly related to my research subject I learned from the navy.

I have been connected to the sea since I was a child.
I was always fascinated by maps and charts.
Charts and maps were part of my professional life in the navy.
At a point in my career, I could have become an admiral but I realised that I had a bigger ambition so I decided to start a PhD instead and study the history of cartography.
(Diogo Homem portolan – 1563).

What motivated you to apply for the ERC?

Simply put, to pass a message.
To make a significant contribution to the training of a new generation of historians of cartography.
Not traditional historians, but researchers prepared to apply a multidisciplinary approach, including physical and numerical methods.
As far as I know, there is no undergraduate degree in the History of Cartography, and the only research team in Europe solely dedicated to the subject is mine.
Being awarded an ERC grant was the only way to have the resources to pass this message.

Links :

Tuesday, June 19, 2018

Flooding from sea level rise threatens over 300,000 US coastal homes – study

Sea levels are rising. For many cities on the the eastern shores of the United States, the problem is existential.
Miami and Atlantic city fight to stay above water

From The Guardian by Oliver Milman

Climate change study predicts ‘staggering impact’ of swelling oceans on coastal communities within next 30 years

Sea level rise driven by climate change is set to pose an existential crisis to many US coastal communities, with new research finding that as many as 311,000 homes face being flooded every two weeks within the next 30 years.

The swelling oceans are forecast repeatedly to soak coastal residences collectively worth $120bn by 2045 if greenhouse gas emissions are not severely curtailed, experts warn.
This will potentially inflict a huge financial and emotional toll on the half a million Americans who live in the properties at risk of having their basements, backyards, garages or living rooms inundated every other week.

“The impact could well be staggering,” said Kristina Dahl, a senior climate scientist at the Union of Concerned Scientists (UCS).
“This level of flooding would be a tipping point where people in these communities would think it’s unsustainable.
“Even homes along the Gulf coast that are elevated would be affected, as they’d have to drive through salt water to get to work or face their kids’ school being cut off. You can imagine people walking away from mortgages, away from their homes.”

The UCS used federal data from a high sea level rise scenario projected by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, and combined it with property data from the online real estate company Zillow to quantify the level of risk across the lower 48 states.

Under this scenario, where planet-warming emissions are barely constrained and the seas rise by about 6.5ft globally by the end of the century, 311,000 homes along the US coastline would face flooding on average 26 times a year within the next 30 years – a typical lifespan for a new mortgage.
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The losses would multiply by the end of the century, with the research warning that as many as 2.4m homes, worth around a trillion dollars, could be put at risk.
Low-lying states would be particularly prone, with a million homes in Florida, 250,000 homes in New Jersey and 143,000 homes in New York at risk of chronic flooding by 2100.

With scientists' predictions starting to come true, Miami Beach residents must decide how to respond to the water that's invading their home.

This persistent flooding is likely to rattle the housing market by lowering property prices and making mortgages untenable in certain areas.
Flood insurance premiums could rise sharply, with people faced with the choice of increasing clean-up costs or retreating to higher ground inland.

“Unfortunately, in the years ahead many coastal communities will face declining property values as risk perceptions catch up with reality,” said Rachel Cleetus, an economist and climate policy director at UCS.
“In contrast with previous housing market crashes, values of properties chronically inundated due to sea level rise are unlikely to recover and will only continue to go further underwater, literally and figuratively.”

The report does not factor in future technological advances that could ameliorate the impact of rising seas, although the US would be starting from a relatively low base compared with some countries given that it does not have a national sea level rise plan.
And the current Trump administration has moved to erase the looming issue from consideration for federally funded infrastructure.

The oceans are rising by about 3mm a year due to the thermal expansion of seawater that’s warming because of the burning of fossil fuels by humans.
The melting of massive glaciers in Greenland and Antarctica is also pushing up the seas – Nasa announced last week that the amount of ice lost annually from Antarctica has tripled since 2012 to an enormous 241bn tons a year.

This slowly unfolding scenario is set to pose wrenching choices for many in the US. Previous research has suggested that about 13 million Americans may have to move due to sea level rise by the end of the century, with landlocked states such as Arizona and Wyoming set for a population surge.

“My flood insurance bill just went up by $100 this year, it went up $100 the year before,” said Philip Stoddard, the mayor of South Miami.
“People on the waterfront won’t be able to stay unless they are very wealthy. This isn’t a risk, it’s inevitable.
“Miami is a beautiful and interesting place to live – I’m looking at a lizard on my windowsill right now. But people will face a cost to live here that will creep up and up. At some point they will have to make a rational economic decision and they may relocate. Some people will make the trade-off to live here. Some won’t.”

Links :

Monday, June 18, 2018