Monday, March 24, 2014

Voyager: How long until ocean temperature goes up a few more degrees?

The NOAA polar-orbiting satellites (POES) have been collecting sea surface temperature data for over 22 years. This animation is a compilation of that data from January 1985 - January 2007.
Of note are the changes in the Gulf Stream, El Nino and La Nina cycles in the Pacific, and the seansonal changes in sea ice cover.

From Scripps

The average temperature of the sea surface is about 20° C (68° F), but it ranges from more than 30° C (86° F) in warm tropical regions to less than 0°C at high latitudes.
In most of the ocean, the water becomes colder with increasing depth.
At 2000 meters, (6,560 feet) the global average temperature is about 2.5°C (36.5° F), and at some locations the ocean bottom temperature is less than 1°C (33.8° F).

The long-term warming of the oceans is strongest at the sea surface, temperature (SST) has increased by about 1°C over the past since 1910, or 0.1°C per decade.
SST has been measured all over the world for more than a hundred years by ocean-going ships.
Below the sea surface, historical measurements of temperature are far sparser, and the warming is more gradual, about 0.01°C per decade at 1,000 meters.

The long-term increase of SST and the warming over the whole water column are both important in the physics of climate.
Sea surface temperature is an important factor because it controls the exchange of heat between the ocean and the atmosphere and in so doing, influences the temperatures experienced on land.
Heat content averaged over the full water column is important because over 90 percent of the net energy being absorbed by the earth’s entire climate system – in the air, ocean and on land and ice – is stored in the oceans.
The oceans have much greater capacity to store heat than the atmosphere, and ocean currents and mixing carry heat away from the sea surface into the deep ocean.
Over the past 50 years, heat energy has been stored in the oceans at a rate of about ½ watt per square meter of surface area.
This is equivalent to having each 10 meter-by-20 meter area on Earth continuously warmed by a 100-watt light bulb.

On time-scales of a decade or two, global SST fluctuates by about 0.2° C from year to year due to naturally-occurring climate phenomena such as El Niño and La Niña so the long-term warming trend is not evident in 10-year periods.
That is the case in the most recent decade.
Nevertheless, the warming over the whole water column occurs at a steadier rate than for SST, and indeed the heat content of the oceans has continued to rise in the past decade at the long-term rate of about ½ watt per square meter.

So it would take a few hundred years for SST to increase by a few more degrees Celsius if it continues at the same rate as the past century.
Climate models predict that the rate of warming will increase.
However, even the moderate warming that has occurred so far is having profound impacts on marine life, sea level, and on Earth’s water cycle.
Sea level is rising by 2-3 centimeters per decade globally due to melting of glaciers and ice sheets and to thermal expansion of the seawater.
Evaporation and rainfall have increased on a global basis as the warming ocean puts more water vapor into the atmosphere and more energy into global weather systems.
Marine species are being displaced toward higher latitudes by the warming ocean, disrupting ecosystems.
So while the rate of ocean temperature increase seems small, its effects on marine life, sea level, and the earth’s water cycle are the primary concerns for society.

Sunday, March 23, 2014

Passion for the sea

Knut Frostad is a Norwegian sailor, a former Olympian, Volvo Ocean Race skipper and motivational speaker.
He now runs the world's premier round the world sailing race.
Here Knut talks about his fascination with the sea, with danger, and with the Volvo Ocean Race.

"Everyone has a responsibility to identify what really triggers you in life"

From VolvoOceanRace by Austin Wong

“This race is so much more than a sailing event” according to Volvo Ocean Race CEO Knut Frostad.
But what does that mean to a non-sailor like me?
I came to the race with no experience of sailing and yet it has completely sucked me into a world of adventure, personalities, and at-the-limits action.
I wondered what the hell happened to me - so I asked Knut.

I have an embarrassing confession.
I’ve worked for the Volvo Ocean Race for almost two years, and yet I don’t sail.
Can’t sail.
I get seasick and the only knot I can tie is the one that fastens my shoelaces.
Despite this I have fallen in love with this event.

The man sitting opposite me knows a thing or two about sailing.
Knut Frostad is the CEO of the Volvo Ocean Race, a former Olympian, and a two-time skipper in this race; a man with a rich history. In short he’s the kind of guy I always want to know more about.

I made this video with Knut attempting to get inside his passion for the sea and sailing.
His interview is thoughtful, insightful, and going back to that word again – passionate.
Perhaps he can help me to understand the reasons I’ve become so invested in this event.
What is the mysterious appeal of the Volvo Ocean Race?

“We have a very real event where people risk their lives, it’s very serious. And we bind countries together. We don’t solve world problems, but we are creating something that people care about beyond money, and status and a lot of other things.
“In some extreme sports today you can do it just to get exposure. But this race is way too long and way too hard, and way too risky to do it for exposure. After 10 days at sea you don’t even know if people are watching you. And that’s what’s special about this race, that people do it for real. They do it because they mean it.”
And though the race is a top sporting competition and a massive commercial operation, the fuel that really drives the Volvo Ocean Race is passion.
That was what hooked me.
Passion is authentic, and to me, passion is one of Knut’s defining qualities.
I ask if he feels that being the driving passion behind this race can be a burden.
“First of all I think it’s not just me - people have passion throughout the race, but it can be for different pieces of the puzzle, and to me it’s much more about defining the real things that matter, whether that’s sailing or not. What I’m trying to do with this race is to translate it in a way so that people feel that it matters.
“Sometimes maybe I carry the sailing side and the responsibility for making people enthusiastic about it, but at the same time I’ve seen so many people being enthusiastic about this event and not taking it from the sailing angle. They never became fans of sailing as such, but they became huge fans of this race and what it does to people. And for me that is what this race is about. This race is a sailing event, but it’s so much more. It’s about a group of people sharing passion, travelling around the world doing cool stuff.”
And indeed the Volvo is full of ‘cool stuff’, but it’s also a monumental task to put together.
To Knut, this is a key aspect of its appeal.
“The reason I like this event is because I know it’s so rewarding. All the cities, all the millions of people, all kinds of crises all the way. The race is very difficult, and very hard, and that’s why you do it.
“The Mount Everest we’re trying to climb is that we start from zero every race and then we try to get the world’s attention, and keep all the sponsors happy, 56 stakeholders and 11 cities. To me it’s more challenging than even sailing it.”
I feel I’m closer now to understanding the essence why I love this event.
The race is an authentic challenge for both body and spirit.
I’m curious about one more thing - Knut is a man who exudes easygoing confidence, but surely he must have his down days?
“It changes, every day for me as anyone else.” he laughs.
“But everyone has a responsibility to identify what really triggers you in life.
“There are so many jobs that are easy, and they’re so unrewarding. Something that’s very special to this event is that when you’ve done a race, you can look back and know you played a big role in it. And I think every person in this race really does. You can see yourself in the event.”

Saturday, March 22, 2014

Dakuwaqa's Garden - Underwater footage from Fiji & Tonga

Underwater footage shot whilst scuba diving in the Fiji islands and Tonga.
Featuring colorful coral reefs, huge schools of tropical fish, sharks, humpback whales, underwater caves, scuba divers and much more marine life from the south Pacific.

Friday, March 21, 2014

Seeing equinoxes and solstices from space

The four changes of the seasons, related to the position of sunlight on the planet, are captured in this view from Earth orbit.

From NASA

One of the most frequently misunderstood concepts in science is the reason for Earth’s seasons.
As we experience the September equinox today—anyone try to balance an egg yet?—we thought we’d offer a space-based view of what’s going on.
Around 6 a.m. local time each day, the Sun, Earth, and any geosynchronous satellite form a right angle, affording a nadir (straight down) view of the terminator, the edge between the shadows of nightfall and the sunlight of dusk and dawn.
The shape of this line between night and day varies with the seasons, which means different lengths of days and differing amounts of warming sunshine.
(The line is actually a curve because the Earth is round, but satellite images only show it in two-dimensions.)
The Spinning Enhanced Visible and Infrared Imager (SEVIRI) on EUMETSAT's Meteosat-9 captured these four views of Earth from geosynchronous orbit.

 acquired December 21, 2010 - September 20, 2011

acquired December 21, 2010 download large winter solstice image (1 MB, JPEG, 3712x3712)
acquired March 20, 2011 download large spring equinox image (1 MB, JPEG, 3712x3712)
acquired June 21, 2011 download large summer solstice image (1 MB, JPEG, 3712x3712)
acquired September 20, 2011 download large fall equinox image (1 MB, JPEG, 3712x3712)
acquired September 19, 2010 - September 19, 2011 download high definition animation (23 MB, QuickTime)
The images show how sunlight fell on the Earth on December 21, 2010 (upper left), and March 20 (upper right), June 21 (lower left), and September 20, 2011 (lower right).
Each image was taken at 6:12 a.m. local time.
On March 20 and September 20, the terminator is a straight north-south line, and the Sun is said to sit directly above the equator.
On December 21, the Sun resides directly over the Tropic of Capricorn when viewed from the ground, and sunlight spreads over more of the Southern Hemisphere.
On June 21, the Sun sits above the Tropic of Cancer, spreading more sunlight in the north and turning the tables on the south.

The bulge of our spherical Earth blocks sunlight from the far hemisphere at the solstices; that same curvature allows the Sun’s rays to spread over more area near the top and bottom of the globe.
Of course, it is not the Sun that is moving north or south through the seasons, but a change in the orientation and angles between the Earth and its nearest star.
The axis of the Earth is tilted 23.5 degrees relative to the Sun and the ecliptic plane.
The axis is tilted away from the Sun at the December solstice and toward the Sun at the June solstice, spreading more and less light on each hemisphere.
At the equinoxes, the tilt is at a right angle to the Sun and the light is spread evenly.
The equinox and changing of the seasons occurs on September 23, 2011 at 9:05 a.m. Universal Time. (Our September image above is a few days early.)
Equinox means "equal night" in Latin, capturing the idea that daytime and nighttime are equal lengths everywhere on the planet.
That is true of the Sun's presence above the horizon, though it does not account for twilight, when the Sun's rays extend from beyond the horizon to illuminate our gas-filled atmosphere.

Read more about the March Equinox from Date and Time

Related Reading

  1. Stern, D. (2005) From Stargazers to Starships: Seasons of the Year. Accessed September 22, 2011.
  2. U.S. Naval Observatory Day and Night Across the Earth. Accessed September 22, 2011.
  3. U.S. Naval Oceanographer Earth's Seasons. Accessed September 22, 2011.

Thursday, March 20, 2014

Has the time come for floating cities?

Koen Olthuis (1971) "the Floating Dutchman" studied Architecture and Industrial Design at the Delft University of Technology.
In 2007 he was chosen as nr. 122 on the Time Magazine list of most influential people in the world due to the worldwide interest in water developments.
The French magazine Terra Eco chooses him as one of the 100 green persons that will change the world in 2011.
In his vision today's designers are an essential part of the climate change generation and should start to enhance their perspective on urban components to become dynamic instead of static.
His solution called City Apps, are floating urban components that add a certain function to the existing static grid of a city.
Using existing urban water as building ground offers space for new density, offering worldwide opportunities for cities to respond flexibly to climate change and urbanization.
The first city, in which this vision is being developed, is The Westland, near The Hague in Holland. This project incorporates both floating social housing, floating islands, and floating apartment buildings. In 2010, the government of the Maldives agreed to develop a floating city, floating islands, floating golf courses, floating hotels and a floating conference centre in a joint venture, as a solution to the problems caused by rising sea levels and also to encourage social and economic advancement.
A sustainable future lies beyond the waterfront!

From The Guardian by Jessa Gamble 

From schools at sea to a city that perpetually sails the oceans, is climate change creating a bold new era of floating urban design?

Until the late 1980s, nestled behind the Yan Ma Tei breakwater in Hong Kong's Causeway Bay, you could find tens of thousands of boat-dwellers who formed a bustling, floating district.
The residents were members of the Tanka community, and their ancestors were fishermen who retreated from warfare on land to live permanently in their vessels.
Until the mid-20th century, these traditional outcasts were forbidden even to step ashore.
The typhoon shelter was famous for its restaurants' cuisine – including Under Bridge Spicy Crab – and it was a nightlife hub, alive with mahjong games and hired singers.
Shops on sampan (flat boats) catered to the floating district's needs.
It may seem like science fiction, but as rising sea levels threaten low-lying nations around the world, neighbourhoods like this may become more common.
Whereas some coastal cities will double down on sea defences, others are beginning to explore a solution that welcomes approaching tides.
What if our cities themselves were to take to the seas?

Grocery store in Makoko, Lagos, Nigeria 
Grocery store in Makoko, Lagos, Nigeria. Photograph: Devesh Uba
 
A floating village at London's Royal Docks has the official nod, and Rotterdam has a Rijnhaven waterfront development experiment well under way.
Eventually, whole neighbourhoods of water-threatened land could be given over to the seas.
After decades of speculation and small-scale applications, the floating solution is finally enjoying political momentum – and serious investment.

The immediate and most numerous victims of climate change are sure to be in the developing world. In Lagos, the sprawling slum of Makoko regularly suffers floods, and its stilted houses are shored up with each new inundation.
It's under threat of razing by authorities.
The Nigerian-born architect Kunlé Adeyemi proposes a series of A-frame floating houses to replace the existing slum.
As proof of concept, his team constructed a floating school for the community.
Still, many buildings do not make a city: infrastructure remains a problem here.
One solution would be to use docking stations with centralised services, rather like hooking up a caravan to power, water and drainage lines at a campground.

You could extend an existing city like London into the water quite far before ever being seriously challenged by infrastructure issues.
But some ideas for floating life move well beyond the urban extension model.
In the 1960s, futurist Buckminster Fuller designed a floating city, Triton, for 100,000 residents, and even had his plans approved by the US Navy. UK designer Phil Pauley has updated Fuller's geodesic concept: a ring of spherical modules, his SubBiosphere2 would float in fair weather, then submerge whenever the seas became rough.

Florida architect Jacque Fresco, meanwhile, foresees a time when humans must colonise the sea, to escape land made uninhabitable by overpopulation.
He has spent his career designing cities of the future, and himself lives in a dome-shaped prototype. Fresco's floating city designs – generally gear-shaped – prescribe the use of "memory metals". Compressed into small cubes, they are easily towed out to sea, where they can be snapped back to the size of buildings.

Floating cities - Sub-Biosphere 2  
Sub-Biosphere 2 is a closed, self-sustaining underwater habitat designed by Phil Pauley 
 
Mobility among the waves lends floating communities a degree of political independence.
The Seasteading Institute, founded by Patri Friedman (grandson of Milton), proposes a series of floating villages, and claims to be in active negotiations with potential host nations that would give the villages political autonomy.
Billed as a startup incubator for political systems, the aquatic communities would serve as experiments in governance – and represent a rejection of what Seasteaders see as big government intrusion.

The Seasteading Institute proposes a series of floating villages – and claims to be in active negotiations with potential host nations.
Photograph: Seasteading Institute

In an implementation plan for these Seasteading cities [pdf], the Dutch engineering firm DeltaSync has proposed a modular building strategy.
It too would have movable parts, for gradual growth and financing, and a dynamic geography: if new friends decide to be neighbours, they could simply tow their houses together.
At first the villages would aggregate in protected waters.
Later, they would cut ties with land altogether.
That's when all the trappings of civic life would be either abandoned or reproduced in microcosm on the rafted village.
Many of the technical components of DeltaSync's plan are well-trodden territory for engineers.
Platforms and mooring systems are not so different from those required for large boats or oil rigs.
Along with reclaimed land, floating additions to city infrastructure are becoming a regular part of municipal planning.
Airports are particularly prime for floating: they essentially require a large platform that is close to the destination city without being intrusive.
As for infrastructure solutions, they range from the well-tested to the speculative.
The abundant wind available at sea could power turbines.
Ocean thermal energy conversion could harness the temperature difference between the surface and the depths – a process that also provides fresh water as a byproduct.
DeltaSync even envisions residents cultivating aquaculture in lieu of gardens, manufacturing their food requirements from nutrients found in upwellings at the edge of continental shelves.
A so-called "Blue Revolution" in aquaculture would be required for the oceans to provide this level of sustenance.
(Even without cities at sea, though, ocean harvesting may be our best hope, as land-based agriculture faces salinated soils and a critical phosphorus shortage.)

Ooffshore eco-platforms : The Stewards of the Seas

For untethered floating societies, it's not just physical infrastructure that needs to be planned out – it's the social infrastructure, too.
Floating citizens still need jobs to do; they need to do their shopping and educate their children.
When the worst happens, they need access to medical care.
A full-service floating city already exists for residents of The World, a 644-foot yacht that continuously circles the planet.
Launched in 2002, the ship contains 165 condominium spaces that sell for millions.
And it may soon be upstaged. Freedom Ship would essentially be a mile-long flat-bottomed barge with a high-rise building on top.
Weighing 3 million tonnes and with a top speed of 10 knots, the floating city would circle the globe every three years, stopping 12 miles offshore at each port for a week at a time.
High-speed ferries would connect the 40,000 residents and 20,000 crew to the mainland and bring back visitors.
"We won't just be visiting those countries," says Freedom Ship director and executive vice president Roger Gooch.
"We anticipate those countries visiting us."
Freedom Ship's size – and its $11bn price tag – gives it a credibility problem.
But Gooch has "two or three irons in the fire in Asia" to secure his team's capital for the three-year construction process.
It will be too big for any existing shipyard to build, so the ship must be constructed in pieces and – a familiar idea by now – towed out to be assembled at sea.

Floating cities - Freedom Ship 2 
Credibility problem? … the perpetually sailing Freedom Ship would have enough room for 50,000 permanent residents.
Photograph: Roger Gooch-FSI 
 
The thriving Hong Kong sampan-dwelling community of Causeway Bay was not to last.
There was no garbage or sewerage treatment system, and fire constantly threatened the wooden structures.
Breakwaters that made up the typhoon shelter also limited water circulation, leaving pollution to accumulate in the harbour.
The wastewater from the moored vessels combined with leaked sewer discharge and storm drain runoff to create unsanitary living conditions.
When Tanka families were offered public housing on land in the 1980s, most chose this option.
Now only a few traditional sampans are left, used as ferries to take tourists to their luxury yachts. Despite sewerage improvement schemes, E Coli levels remain high, and tests show alarmingly high levels of tributyltin, a toxic biocide, in the water.
If floating communities are the way of the future, we will have to learn this lesson well: we can no longer simply outrun our own refuse.
Untethering from land seems a big moment for a floating city, akin to blasting off to colonise another planet.
To reject our ancestral habitat to this degree seems like hubris.
How could a group of people survive alone among the waves?
But it is a fallacy to imagine we're self-sustaining even in our land-based communities.
Many of our essential goods arrive by tanker anyway – a sea-based location would be all the more convenient.
Far from impractical utopias, floating cities could be every bit as integrated into global society as the ones we already have on land.

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